Post by joshsbix on Dec 13, 2023 9:12:58 GMT -5
I feel qualified to write this article as I have a few potential 20 game losers. There are at least 4 more trips through the rotation, even with a spot starter going twice. I will start with a breakdown of the Pirates who are trying to avoid the 20 loss season and the look to see who else is trending in that direction. Feel free to chime in if I missed your pitcher.
Pittsburgh
Dontrelle Willis is more likely than not to pick up 20 losses. Unless the OOTP gods strike him down with an injury, he is going to reach the mark. Dreifort's and Anderson's odds of reaching 20 losses isn't as high, but definitely still attainable.
Chicago A
Dustin McGowan finds himself in the same situation as Willis, a month to go and already at 18 losses. His sub 4 ERA suggests he shouldn't be in that situation, let's see if the White Sock lineup can give him some help down the stretch.
Cincy
The Reds pitching staff has certainly earned their shot at the top spot in the draft with two starters that have lost 21 games and Reith and Asencio both on the 18 loss ledge to 20. AAA starter David Bush is rumored to have said, hey, I can do that too.
LAA
Another team with a dog in the hunt for the top draft pick, the Angels don't have a 20 game loser yet but Karl and Nolasco are dangerously close at 17 and 18 losses respectively. Karl is pitching better than his record suggests, if he can get run support through the next 4 starts, he could dodge the dreaded deuce-zero. Nolasco looks like he is destined to wear the albatross.
Milwaukee
Jimenez is mathematically in the hunt with 16 and a 4 man rotation, but our experts don't think is in the high danger zone as he doesn't make a habit of losing multiple games in a row.
Minnesota
As Minnesota continues their quest for the number one draft pick, the only pitcher they have truly in the danger zone is #5 starter Joe Saunders with 17 losses and a 7 era. He is likely to face Seattle, Boston, Yankees, and Texas over his last four starts. He needs to find 2 wins in there, and I am just not sure they are there.
Yankees
Fajarda and Jones are both mathematically possibilities but at 16 losses it seems they are both longshots for the dubious honor but their ERAs definitely keep them in the hunt.
San Diego
Another bottom 6 team, San Diego doesn't have any 20 game losers yet but Sterling Hunter has 19, and seems to be a lock. Carlos Perez is on the possible list with 17 losses, and his 8.45 Era probably elevates his odds to better than average. White and De la Rosa are both in the 16 zone and it seems unlikely for them to lose all 4 games but they both will need the offense to show up in a big way for at least one game each as their ERAs are also reason for concern.
TB
While they may only have 31 wins, they haven't racked up the losses to their starters like some of the other bottom 6. Ryan Vogelsong is probably a lock to get there during the next sim with 19 losses but everyone else has battled and fought to spread the losses around pretty equally. Billy Wagner has to be credited with taking some of the pressure off the starters by contributing 9 losses.
That's it folks. These folks have 4 games to prove that they just need to be forgotten this season or to go down in the annals of 20 loss history.
Pittsburgh
Dontrelle Willis is more likely than not to pick up 20 losses. Unless the OOTP gods strike him down with an injury, he is going to reach the mark. Dreifort's and Anderson's odds of reaching 20 losses isn't as high, but definitely still attainable.
Chicago A
Dustin McGowan finds himself in the same situation as Willis, a month to go and already at 18 losses. His sub 4 ERA suggests he shouldn't be in that situation, let's see if the White Sock lineup can give him some help down the stretch.
Cincy
The Reds pitching staff has certainly earned their shot at the top spot in the draft with two starters that have lost 21 games and Reith and Asencio both on the 18 loss ledge to 20. AAA starter David Bush is rumored to have said, hey, I can do that too.
LAA
Another team with a dog in the hunt for the top draft pick, the Angels don't have a 20 game loser yet but Karl and Nolasco are dangerously close at 17 and 18 losses respectively. Karl is pitching better than his record suggests, if he can get run support through the next 4 starts, he could dodge the dreaded deuce-zero. Nolasco looks like he is destined to wear the albatross.
Milwaukee
Jimenez is mathematically in the hunt with 16 and a 4 man rotation, but our experts don't think is in the high danger zone as he doesn't make a habit of losing multiple games in a row.
Minnesota
As Minnesota continues their quest for the number one draft pick, the only pitcher they have truly in the danger zone is #5 starter Joe Saunders with 17 losses and a 7 era. He is likely to face Seattle, Boston, Yankees, and Texas over his last four starts. He needs to find 2 wins in there, and I am just not sure they are there.
Yankees
Fajarda and Jones are both mathematically possibilities but at 16 losses it seems they are both longshots for the dubious honor but their ERAs definitely keep them in the hunt.
San Diego
Another bottom 6 team, San Diego doesn't have any 20 game losers yet but Sterling Hunter has 19, and seems to be a lock. Carlos Perez is on the possible list with 17 losses, and his 8.45 Era probably elevates his odds to better than average. White and De la Rosa are both in the 16 zone and it seems unlikely for them to lose all 4 games but they both will need the offense to show up in a big way for at least one game each as their ERAs are also reason for concern.
TB
While they may only have 31 wins, they haven't racked up the losses to their starters like some of the other bottom 6. Ryan Vogelsong is probably a lock to get there during the next sim with 19 losses but everyone else has battled and fought to spread the losses around pretty equally. Billy Wagner has to be credited with taking some of the pressure off the starters by contributing 9 losses.
That's it folks. These folks have 4 games to prove that they just need to be forgotten this season or to go down in the annals of 20 loss history.
