Post by CSCommish on Apr 25, 2024 21:08:23 GMT -5
Well, he did it.
In a 16-9 victory on Monday, July 24, 2012 in St. Louis against the beat up Cardinals, Derek Jeter swiped two bases, the second stolen base was his 1520th career stolen base, tying the all-time record with retired speedster Julio Cruz. For the day, Jeter went 3 for 5, with a double, his 9th of the season, in the first inning off of Brian Rose, and 2 singles, scoring 2 runs and 1 run batted in, and no walks or strikeouts.
Then, everyone was on eggshells, and it seemed like Jeter was too, as he was caught trying to make way for the record-breaking steal multiple times.
It was not until 4 days later in a 9-3 victory at home against the friendly San Diego Padres on Friday, July 28, 2012 that he was about to nab his record-breaking 1521st steal of his career, in front of 59,973 screaming fans at The Met at Target Yards. The game paused for 15 minutes and 21 seconds (yuk yuk) to allow for the fans to shower Derek with a standing ovation and a previously-prepared video that played, showcasing past legends, including a eye roll, but a smiling congratulations from the legendary Julio Cruz.
Jeter finished the day 3 for 5, all singles, scoring 2 runs, no runs batted in, walks or strikeouts. It is noted that with 3,264 career hits, Jeter has very quietly climbed his way up to 13th all-time in hits, now over 100+ hits behind Roberto Clemente. Earlier in the week, the Yankees extended Jeter to a very modest one-year contract, in case he wanted to come back for a 19th season, and the chance to pass Julio Cruz (yes, the same fellow) at 10th place all time. If that were the case, the Yankees are prepared to play him at DH, but at his traditional lead-off spot, allowing youngster Jose Ramirez to take over at shortstop, and potentially start his own career path to chasing Jeter's all-time record. How fitting.
Jeter's blazing June, featuring 42 hits, was followed with a rather pedestrian, but still respectable July, in which he went 23 for 83, batting .277 for the month, dropping his season average to .337, good for second in the league behind fellow teammate 19-year-old rookie Jorge Polanco. A bit ironic to the author, as Jorge Polanco was born while Jeter was in the middle of his 24-steal and 0-caught stealing AAA season.
Meanwhile, after all of the bubbly, team staff did notice that perhaps baseball was finally taking its toll of Jeter's body. He showed some sluggishness and loss of patience, and recently was showing weaknesses in his swing. With the career record in hand, it was almost as if the weight of the world finally let off his shoulders, and his body started to break down. After talking to a team counselor, Jeter said he felt he could just go out and play, and have fun. This might explain why he gave the Twins a huge team discount, after all, he no longer has his pop, but would love to hang out and lead the next generation of stars, plus, he might still be able to get close to the single-season stolen base record.
Original Pace / Projections
Career Pace: 0.58 steals per game played
Average Games Played Per Season in Career: 149 games
Pace times Average Games Played for an average season: 86 steals
Current Pace in Past 3 Seasons: 0.54 steals per game played
Average Games Played Per Season in Past 3 Seasons: 133 games
Pace times Average Games Played for an average season: 72 steals
Estimated Pace for 2012: 0.56 steals per game played
Estimated Games Played in 2012: 141 games
Estimated Steals: 79 steals
Quest for Chipper Jones' 2006 Record of 112 Steals
Jeter currently has 72 steals in 104 teams games played (Jeter has played in 98 of the 104 games, which represents a 94% participation rate). This puts him on pace for, well, 112 steals, in his age-38 season. As anticipated, the original 169-steal pace was expected to drop, and his pace has normalized toward the 110-120 range. This continues to make for an interesting record watch. With 72 steals down, he is now 64% (nearly 2/3!) the way to the 113-steal goal with 64% of the season complete.
Current Season Pace: 72 steals in 104 games or 0.69 steals per game (a decrease of 0.11 steals per game from the last check in)
Remaining: 41 steals in 58 games remaining or 0.71 steals per game (an increase of 0.11 steals per game from the last check in)
Likelihood of breaking the record: estimated 10% likely, in the last week of the season (a reduction from 25%, still at the same time)
Quest for Julio Cruz's All-Time Record of 1520 Steals
Jeter currently has 1521 steals, and is the all-time stolen base leader, having broken it in late July, as expected.
In a 16-9 victory on Monday, July 24, 2012 in St. Louis against the beat up Cardinals, Derek Jeter swiped two bases, the second stolen base was his 1520th career stolen base, tying the all-time record with retired speedster Julio Cruz. For the day, Jeter went 3 for 5, with a double, his 9th of the season, in the first inning off of Brian Rose, and 2 singles, scoring 2 runs and 1 run batted in, and no walks or strikeouts.
Then, everyone was on eggshells, and it seemed like Jeter was too, as he was caught trying to make way for the record-breaking steal multiple times.
It was not until 4 days later in a 9-3 victory at home against the friendly San Diego Padres on Friday, July 28, 2012 that he was about to nab his record-breaking 1521st steal of his career, in front of 59,973 screaming fans at The Met at Target Yards. The game paused for 15 minutes and 21 seconds (yuk yuk) to allow for the fans to shower Derek with a standing ovation and a previously-prepared video that played, showcasing past legends, including a eye roll, but a smiling congratulations from the legendary Julio Cruz.
Jeter finished the day 3 for 5, all singles, scoring 2 runs, no runs batted in, walks or strikeouts. It is noted that with 3,264 career hits, Jeter has very quietly climbed his way up to 13th all-time in hits, now over 100+ hits behind Roberto Clemente. Earlier in the week, the Yankees extended Jeter to a very modest one-year contract, in case he wanted to come back for a 19th season, and the chance to pass Julio Cruz (yes, the same fellow) at 10th place all time. If that were the case, the Yankees are prepared to play him at DH, but at his traditional lead-off spot, allowing youngster Jose Ramirez to take over at shortstop, and potentially start his own career path to chasing Jeter's all-time record. How fitting.
Jeter's blazing June, featuring 42 hits, was followed with a rather pedestrian, but still respectable July, in which he went 23 for 83, batting .277 for the month, dropping his season average to .337, good for second in the league behind fellow teammate 19-year-old rookie Jorge Polanco. A bit ironic to the author, as Jorge Polanco was born while Jeter was in the middle of his 24-steal and 0-caught stealing AAA season.
Meanwhile, after all of the bubbly, team staff did notice that perhaps baseball was finally taking its toll of Jeter's body. He showed some sluggishness and loss of patience, and recently was showing weaknesses in his swing. With the career record in hand, it was almost as if the weight of the world finally let off his shoulders, and his body started to break down. After talking to a team counselor, Jeter said he felt he could just go out and play, and have fun. This might explain why he gave the Twins a huge team discount, after all, he no longer has his pop, but would love to hang out and lead the next generation of stars, plus, he might still be able to get close to the single-season stolen base record.
Original Pace / Projections
Career Pace: 0.58 steals per game played
Average Games Played Per Season in Career: 149 games
Pace times Average Games Played for an average season: 86 steals
Current Pace in Past 3 Seasons: 0.54 steals per game played
Average Games Played Per Season in Past 3 Seasons: 133 games
Pace times Average Games Played for an average season: 72 steals
Estimated Pace for 2012: 0.56 steals per game played
Estimated Games Played in 2012: 141 games
Estimated Steals: 79 steals
Quest for Chipper Jones' 2006 Record of 112 Steals
Jeter currently has 72 steals in 104 teams games played (Jeter has played in 98 of the 104 games, which represents a 94% participation rate). This puts him on pace for, well, 112 steals, in his age-38 season. As anticipated, the original 169-steal pace was expected to drop, and his pace has normalized toward the 110-120 range. This continues to make for an interesting record watch. With 72 steals down, he is now 64% (nearly 2/3!) the way to the 113-steal goal with 64% of the season complete.
Current Season Pace: 72 steals in 104 games or 0.69 steals per game (a decrease of 0.11 steals per game from the last check in)
Remaining: 41 steals in 58 games remaining or 0.71 steals per game (an increase of 0.11 steals per game from the last check in)
Likelihood of breaking the record: estimated 10% likely, in the last week of the season (a reduction from 25%, still at the same time)
Quest for Julio Cruz's All-Time Record of 1520 Steals
Jeter currently has 1521 steals, and is the all-time stolen base leader, having broken it in late July, as expected.
