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Post by CSCommish on Jul 27, 2024 13:03:47 GMT -5
The bottom 6 teams will be placed into an NBA-style draft lottery.
The bottom 6 teams for the 2015 draft are:
1. STL (18 wins) 2. BOS (33 wins) 3. COL (38 wins) 3. SEA (38 wins) 5. ARZ (44 wins) 6. MIA (56 wins)
Base combinations are:
1. STL - 350 out of 1,000 2. BOS - 250 out of 1,000 3. COL - 125 out of 1,000 3. SEA - 125 out of 1,000 5. ARZ - 80 out of 1,000 6. MIA - 70 out of 1,000
Reductions: - win less than 30 - 100% reduction - STL - win less than 40 - 75% reduction - BOS, COL, SEA - win less than 50 - 50% reduction - ARZ - win less than 60 - 25% reduction - MIA
- had #1 pick last season - 50% reduction - N/A (it was KCR in 2014) - had #1 pick past 2 seasons - 100% reduction - N/A (it was KCR in 2014 and BOS in 2013)
Revised combinations are:
1. STL - 0 out of 1,000 ... other 350 are unassigned 2. BOS - 63 out of 1,000 ... other 187 are unassigned 3. COL - 31 out of 1,000 ... other 94 are unassigned 3. SEA - 31 out of 1,000 ... other 94 are unassigned 5. ARZ - 40 out of 1,000 ... other 40 are unassigned 6. MIA - 53 out of 1,000 ... other 17 are unassigned
Actual chances:
1. STL - 0.0% 2. BOS - 28.9% 3. COL - 14.2% 3. SEA - 14.2% 5. ARZ - 18.3% 6. MIA - 24.3%
Probable draft order (in order of % for first 3, then remainder in order of wins):
1. BOS 2. MIA 3. ARZ 4. STL 5. COL 6. SEA
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Post by CSCommish on Jul 27, 2024 13:03:57 GMT -5
I'll run the actual lottery tonight.
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,263
Member is Online
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Post by sargo on Jul 27, 2024 14:19:43 GMT -5
Someone trade me #1
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Post by CSCommish on Jul 27, 2024 15:06:24 GMT -5
Roll Generator Search For Value Action 1 1 6 3 7 1 3 6 7 Unassigned Roll Again 2 12 9 8 4 4 8 9 12 Unassigned Roll Again 3 6 2 14 11 2 6 11 14 Unassigned Roll Again 4 14 9 6 3 3 6 9 14 COL Team #1 5 2 10 9 4 2 4 9 10 BOS Team #2 6 7 2 14 11 2 7 11 14 Unassigned Roll Again 7 2 1 12 6 1 2 6 12 Unassigned Roll Again 8 4 12 5 2 2 4 5 12 Unassigned Roll Again 9 6 9 4 1 1 4 6 9 Unassigned Roll Again 10 8 1 7 13 1 7 8 13 Unassigned Roll Again 11 9 12 13 11 9 11 12 13 Unassigned Roll Again 12 14 8 1 7 1 7 8 14 Unassigned Roll Again 13 7 3 12 10 3 7 10 12 COL Roll Again 14 9 11 4 14 4 9 11 14 Unassigned Roll Again 15 11 1 8 2 1 2 8 11 Unassigned Roll Again 16 1 9 14 2 1 2 9 14 Unassigned Roll Again 17 12 9 1 7 1 7 9 12 Unassigned Roll Again 18 8 14 4 13 4 8 13 14 Unassigned Roll Again 19 10 2 14 9 2 9 10 14 Unassigned Roll Again 20 7 1 2 14 1 2 7 14 Unassigned Roll Again 21 5 14 13 8 5 8 13 14 ARZ Team #3
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Post by CSCommish on Jul 27, 2024 15:07:13 GMT -5
Draft Order:
1. COL 2. BOS 3. ARZ 4. STL 5. SEA 6. MIA
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Post by Braz (Rockies) on Jul 27, 2024 16:04:26 GMT -5
Lmao ok
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Danchevy
General Manager
Seattle Mariners
Posts: 2,082
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Post by Danchevy on Jul 27, 2024 16:54:32 GMT -5
Congrats. Big jump up for you.
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Post by CSCommish on Jul 27, 2024 16:56:49 GMT -5
Congrats. Big jump up for you. he traded it to the White Sox
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Danchevy
General Manager
Seattle Mariners
Posts: 2,082
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Post by Danchevy on Jul 27, 2024 17:23:32 GMT -5
Congrats. Big jump up for you. he traded it to the White Sox Crazy
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Post by Braz (Rockies) on Jul 27, 2024 17:39:02 GMT -5
Congrats. Big jump up for you. the pick I was tie breaker with fell to 5. Mine jumps to 1. All you can do is laugh
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Danchevy
General Manager
Seattle Mariners
Posts: 2,082
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Post by Danchevy on Jul 27, 2024 17:41:23 GMT -5
Congrats. Big jump up for you. the pick I was tie breaker with fell to 5. Mine jumps to 1. All you can do is laugh Ya just unfortunate to finalize the deal a few hours before the lottery. feel like the deal was more then fair with the 5th or 6th overall so was an unnecessary gamble to confirm the deal prior to the lottery. but ya shitty luck
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Post by Braz (Rockies) on Jul 27, 2024 17:54:41 GMT -5
the pick I was tie breaker with fell to 5. Mine jumps to 1. All you can do is laugh Ya just unfortunate to finalize the deal a few hours before the lottery. feel like the deal was more then fair with the 5th or 6th overall so was an unnecessary gamble to confirm the deal prior to the lottery. but ya shitty luck this shit moves so slow and I wanted posey and marte. So all good. Both in their prime.
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stooolfan
General Manager
St Louis Cardinals
Posts: 7,118
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Post by stooolfan on Jul 27, 2024 17:56:26 GMT -5
Ya just unfortunate to finalize the deal a few hours before the lottery. feel like the deal was more then fair with the 5th or 6th overall so was an unnecessary gamble to confirm the deal prior to the lottery. but ya shitty luck this shit moves so slow and I wanted posey and marte. So all good. Both in their prime. Yeah nothing wrong getting players you like. Trades been slow lately so I don’t blame you
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Play
General Manager
Chicago Cubs
Posts: 2,686
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Post by Play on Jul 27, 2024 18:43:21 GMT -5
I see what Dan is saying but he got 2 studs that he wanted, so whatever.
Soto will need time to develop anyway. Braz wants to compete.
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Bish
General Manager
Philadelphia Phillies
Posts: 3,124
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Post by Bish on Jul 27, 2024 21:13:46 GMT -5
I see what Dan is saying but he got 2 studs that he wanted, so whatever. Soto will need time to develop anyway. Braz wants to compete. this is true but you gotta put provisions in for a top pick…that wasn’t smart on Braz end Either way, you learn
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sargo
General Manager
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Post by sargo on Jul 27, 2024 21:49:58 GMT -5
Smh.
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
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Post by Reddington on Jul 28, 2024 11:06:24 GMT -5
thought there was a rule, no trades of a top 6 pick before the draft class was up?
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Post by Braz (Rockies) on Jul 28, 2024 11:08:50 GMT -5
I see what Dan is saying but he got 2 studs that he wanted, so whatever. Soto will need time to develop anyway. Braz wants to compete. this is true but you gotta put provisions in for a top pick…that wasn’t smart on Braz end Either way, you learn Friday night negotiations can get dangerous 🍻
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Danchevy
General Manager
Seattle Mariners
Posts: 2,082
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Post by Danchevy on Jul 28, 2024 11:57:02 GMT -5
thought there was a rule, no trades of a top 6 pick before the draft class was up? Was possible that we put this in place after stool dealt me one and I think it happened another time turning into a voided deal. Can’t specifically remember what trade that was though
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,029
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Post by Reddington on Jul 28, 2024 12:02:52 GMT -5
thought there was a rule, no trades of a top 6 pick before the draft class was up? Was possible that we put this in place after stool dealt me one and I think it happened another time turning into a voided deal. Can’t specifically remember what trade that was though last season
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Post by Braz (Rockies) on Jul 28, 2024 12:16:08 GMT -5
Was possible that we put this in place after stool dealt me one and I think it happened another time turning into a voided deal. Can’t specifically remember what trade that was though last season oh bc my acuna deal. I am an agent of Chaos
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stooolfan
General Manager
St Louis Cardinals
Posts: 7,118
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Post by stooolfan on Jul 28, 2024 15:04:30 GMT -5
thought there was a rule, no trades of a top 6 pick before the draft class was up? Was possible that we put this in place after stool dealt me one and I think it happened another time turning into a voided deal. Can’t specifically remember what trade that was though Rough losing beltre haha
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