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Post by CSCommish on Sept 2, 2024 12:12:06 GMT -5
The bottom 6 teams will be placed into an NBA-style draft lottery.
The bottom 6 teams for the 2016 draft are:
1. HOU (19 wins) 2. MIA (25 wins) 3. ARZ (38 wins) 4. BOS (40 wins) 5. CIN (46 wins) 6. MIL (48 wins)
Base combinations are:
1. HOU - 350 out of 1,000 2. MIA - 250 out of 1,000 3. ARZ - 150 out of 1,000 4. BOS - 100 out of 1,000 5. CIN - 80 out of 1,000 6. MIL - 70 out of 1,000
Reductions: - win less than 30 - 100% reduction - HOU, MIA - win less than 40 - 75% reduction - ARZ - win less than 50 - 50% reduction - BOS, CIN, MIL - win less than 60 - 25% reduction - (None)
- had #1 pick last season - 50% reduction - N/A (it was COL in 2015) - had #1 pick past 2 seasons - 100% reduction - N/A (it was COL in 2015 and KCR in 2014)
Revised combinations are:
1. HOU - 0 out of 1,000 ... other 350 are unassigned 2. MIA - 0 out of 1,000 ... other 250 are unassigned 3. ARZ - 38 out of 1,000 ... other 112 are unassigned 4. BOS - 50 out of 1,000 ... other 50 are unassigned 5. CIN - 40 out of 1,000 ... other 40 are unassigned 6. MIL - 35 out of 1,000 ... other 35 are unassigned
Actual chances:
1. HOU - 0.0% 2. MIA - 0.0% 3. ARZ - 23.3% 4. BOS - 30.1% 5. CIN - 24.5% 6. MIL - 21.5%
Probable draft order (in order of % for first 3, then remainder in order of wins):
1. BOS 2. CIN 3. ARZ 4. HOU 5. MIA 6. MIL
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Post by CSCommish on Sept 2, 2024 12:12:15 GMT -5
Will run lottery tonight.
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Post by CSCommish on Sept 2, 2024 18:04:07 GMT -5
Roll Generator Search For Value Action 1 4 11 2 13 2 4 11 13 Unassigned Roll Again 2 10 4 12 8 4 8 10 12 BOS Team #1 3 3 13 5 8 3 5 8 13 Unassigned Roll Again 4 14 11 10 6 6 10 11 14 Unassigned Roll Again 5 10 3 13 11 3 10 11 13 Unassigned Roll Again 6 2 8 14 13 2 8 13 14 Unassigned Roll Again 7 3 14 12 2 2 3 12 14 Unassigned Roll Again 8 10 9 6 4 4 6 9 10 Unassigned Roll Again 9 7 1 8 4 1 4 7 8 Unassigned Roll Again 10 9 2 14 6 2 6 9 14 Unassigned Roll Again 11 12 8 2 10 2 8 10 12 Unassigned Roll Again 12 14 10 1 8 1 8 10 14 Unassigned Roll Again 13 14 6 3 1 1 3 6 14 Unassigned Roll Again 14 7 14 8 9 7 8 9 14 MIL Team #2 15 8 9 2 13 2 8 9 13 Unassigned Roll Again 16 1 11 12 2 1 2 11 12 Unassigned Roll Again 17 6 4 8 13 4 6 8 13 Unassigned Roll Again 18 14 7 6 3 3 6 7 14 Unassigned Roll Again 19 10 3 7 13 3 7 10 13 ARZ Team #3
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Post by CSCommish on Sept 2, 2024 18:05:09 GMT -5
Draft Order:
1. BOS 2. MIL 3. ARZ 4. HOU 5. MIA 6. CIN
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,258
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Post by sargo on Sept 2, 2024 19:06:00 GMT -5
2 , LFG. Too bad we don’t know the class yet
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Sept 3, 2024 1:50:23 GMT -5
All according to keikaku
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