Reddington
General Manager 
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853 
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Post by Reddington on Oct 26, 2024 10:17:43 GMT -5
The bottom 6 teams will be placed into an NBA-style draft lottery.
The bottom 6 teams for the 2016 draft are:
1. MIA (17 wins)
2. HOU (17 wins)
3. MIL (30 wins)
4. Az (39 wins)
5. BOS (41 wins)
6. TEX (54 wins)
6. PHI (54 wins)
Base combinations are:
1. MIA - 350 out of 1,000
2. HOU - 350 out of 1,000
3. MIL - 150 out of 1,000
4. ARZ - 100 out of 1,000
5. BOS - 80 out of 1,000
6. MIL - 70 out of 1,000
6. PHI - 70 out of 1,000
Reductions:
- win less than 30 - 100% reduction - HOU, MIA
- win less than 40 - 75% reduction - MIL, ARZ
- win less than 50 - 50% reduction - BOS
- win less than 60 - 25% reduction - TEX. PHI
- had #1 pick last season - 50% reduction - BOS (it was COL in 2015)
- had #1 pick past 2 seasons - 100% reduction - N/A (it was COL in 2015 and KCR in 2014)
Revised combinations are:
1. HOU - 0 out of 1,000 ... other 350 are unassigned
2. MIA - 0 out of 1,000 ... other 250 are unassigned
3. MIL - 38 out of 1,000 ... other 112 are unassigned
4. ARZ- 25 out of 1,000 ... other 50 are unassigned
5. BOS - 20 out of 1,000 ... other 40 are unassigned
6. TEX- 35 out of 1,000 ... other 35 are unassigned
6. PHI - 35 out of 1,000 ... other 35 are unassigned
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Oct 26, 2024 10:19:07 GMT -5
Basketball Lottery Program
Rolling the Lottery:
Rolled: No Team
Picked: No Team (Valid)
Rolled: ARZ
Picked: ARZ (Valid)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: ARZ
No team picked (Duplicate: ARZ)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: MIL
Picked: MIL (Valid)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: MIL
No team picked (Duplicate: MIL)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: No Team
No team picked (Duplicate: No Team)
Rolled: PHI
Picked: PHI (Valid)
Lottery Winners:
1. ARZ
2. MIL
3. PHI
4. HOU
5. MIA
6. BOS
7. TEX
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Bish
General Manager
Philadelphia Phillies
Posts: 3,275
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Post by Bish on Oct 26, 2024 10:20:57 GMT -5
Let’s go!
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,469
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Post by sargo on Oct 26, 2024 10:37:06 GMT -5
2 ah
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Oct 26, 2024 10:56:41 GMT -5
This is wrong
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Oct 26, 2024 10:57:50 GMT -5
They drop before picking. I can’t drop below them.
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Oct 26, 2024 10:58:44 GMT -5
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Oct 26, 2024 10:59:27 GMT -5
They drop before picking. I can’t drop below them. you were number 5 phili jumped you are number 6 now |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Oct 26, 2024 15:44:49 GMT -5
They drop before picking. I can’t drop below them. you were number 5 phili jumped you are number 6 now I’m not #5 I’m #3 after drops. |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Oct 26, 2024 15:45:07 GMT -5
You did not do it how it’s been done previously
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Oct 26, 2024 20:48:27 GMT -5
They drop before picking. I can’t drop below them. you were number 5 phili jumped you are number 6 now only the top 3 are open for jumping, thos that miss come in at 4 and up then the rest resume... here is 2015 wtf did StL end up? 4th... 1. STL - 0.0% 2. BOS - 28.9% 3. COL - 14.2% 3. SEA - 14.2% 5. ARZ - 18.3% 6. MIA - 24.3% Probable draft order (in order of % for first 3, then remainder in order of wins): 1. BOS 2. MIA 3. ARZ 4. STL 5. COL 6. SEA Draft Order: 1. COL 2. BOS 3. ARZ 4. STL 5. SEA 6. MIA jesus christ you make up shit non stop |
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 5:51:56 GMT -5
Couple things:
- the 1-14 rolls 4 times = 1001 balls - that is the base line. It looks like there are 1,170 balls in this (350, 350, 150, 100, 80, 70, 70)
- when teams tie, their categories are added together and split evenly. So first being 350 and second being 250 should be combined to 600 and split to 300 each, not 350
- when the 6th place team ties with a 7th place team, we need to either split the 70 balls to 35 (which means 7 teams are in the lotto which was not what this was designed for because if a 7th place team gets in, it will harm the other 6 teams. It's not the 3rd place team's fault that 6th and 7th place tied. I'd rather not do this) ... or we do a tiebreaker (I'd rather do this)
- the team(s) in 6th (and 7th apparently, here) had under 60 wins, so their number of balls should have been reduced by 25%, which did not happen (it was reduced for all of the others)
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 6:02:42 GMT -5
According to Google AI:
Lottery teams
If multiple lottery teams tie, their draft lottery combinations are combined and then split evenly.
That is consistent with my note with taking the 350 + 250 combinations and splitting evenly to 300 each, not 350 each. So that confirms that.
Another search suggested a coin-flip to determine tiebreaker, so I'm going to do that for the 6th place split only. The formulas only work with 6 teams, not 7 (or more).
That said, I am going to change the lotto rules next season so ALL non-playoff teams are in the lotto.
Given 20 non-playoff teams, and with 1,001 balls, the chances will be:
1. 200
2. 180
3. 150
4. 100
5. 80
6. 60
7. 35
8. 30
9. 25
10. 20
11. 18
12. 16
13. 14
14. 12
15. 10
16. 10
17. 10
18. 10
19. 10
20. 10
+ 1 unassigned, giving us 1,001
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 6:07:21 GMT -5
They drop before picking. I can’t drop below them. you were number 5 phili jumped you are number 6 now the issue is the 7th team. There should not be a 7th team (we need to do a tiebreaker). to eliminate this issue going forward, we're gonna include all non-playoff teams in the draft lottery, like in real NBA. |
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 6:10:41 GMT -5
I'll rerun it shortly
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