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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 20:26:12 GMT -5
FYI: In the NBA draft lottery, there are 1,001 possible combinations of four balls drawn from a set of 14 balls numbered 1–14. ... One is thrown out to make the number an even 1,000 to be assigned to the teams. Combinations from "1 2 3 4" to "10 12 13 14" constitute the 1,000 combinations, with combination "11 12 13 14" being the last one that is thrown out.
The rules I had assigned divvied up the 1,000 combinations as follows: 350, 250, 150, 100, 80, 70. That adds up to 1,000 even. If we add a 7th team with another 70 balls, what combinations are they given if the 1,000 combinations are already assigned? It is not possible. It's like a game of musical chairs.
One solution was to split the 6th and 7th teams to 35 combinations each, but allowing a 7th team into the lottery would have slid another team back to 7th when that was not the intent.
Another solution was to coin flip the 6th and 7th teams, and have the winner be the one to be assigned to the 70 combinations.
I preferred the latter solution.
Poor planning? Guess so.
Not sure what I am excusing for.
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 20:33:46 GMT -5
you based it off the NBA lotto, which doesn't have just 6 teams, so I wrote a program to fo the odds for 7 teams based on the same thing.
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 20:35:12 GMT -5
this is why I wont sim anymore. I can only put so much effort into trying to go forward when you drop out of sight for days / weeks on end, and then decide something isn't quite how you would do it, pop on for a moment and then drop out for 9 more days
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 20:39:36 GMT -5
writing the program / researching took hours... why waste my time
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Bish
General Manager
Philadelphia Phillies
Posts: 3,290
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Post by Bish on Nov 2, 2024 20:41:08 GMT -5
Meh
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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 20:42:42 GMT -5
you based it off the NBA lotto, which doesn't have just 6 teams, so I wrote a program to fo the odds for 7 teams based on the same thing. I know that, but the most basic element that drives the NBA lotto is that it is based on 4 rolls of balls numbered 1-14 which neatly creates 1,000 combinations (once the last one is thrown away). The 1,000 combinations can be divided amongst any number of teams as you see fit. It's 14 teams in the NBA right now, and it will be 16 teams once they expand to, I assume Seattle and Las Vegas. You can do it for 100 teams or 4 teams, or whatever. We decided on 6 teams. If we were going to do 7 teams, we needed to change the combos so we still have 1,000 combinations. Maybe it would be 275, 225, 150, 125, 100, 75, 50. I dunno. But then what if there is a 3-way tie? Now 8 teams? At this point, we are better off doing all non-playoff teams, like the NBA does it, which we are going to do next season.
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 20:44:24 GMT -5
sorry, a team that wins 100 games should not have a chance at jumping to #1 imho
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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 20:45:27 GMT -5
this is why I wont sim anymore. I can only put so much effort into trying to go forward when you drop out of sight for days / weeks on end, and then decide something isn't quite how you would do it, pop on for a moment and then drop out for 9 more days Sorry? no one asked me to chime in on the 7 teams issue. I would have said ahhhh fuck (because, poor planning) and said coin flip 6th and 7th. Next time I just won't come back. In fact, maybe I won't do the restart league.
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 20:45:29 GMT -5
using the NBA as a model was flawed as more than half the teams make the playoffs
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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 20:46:50 GMT -5
sorry, a team that wins 100 games should not have a chance at jumping to #1 imho I haven't planned it all out yet, but we can reduce the chances for teams who win less than 40 and more than 90.
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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 20:48:10 GMT -5
using the NBA as a model was flawed as more than half the teams make the playoffs The NBA model is using 4 balls numbered 1 to 14 to get 1,001 combos. That has NOTHING to do with the number of teams that are subject to the lottery.
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 20:48:24 GMT -5
this is why I wont sim anymore. I can only put so much effort into trying to go forward when you drop out of sight for days / weeks on end, and then decide something isn't quite how you would do it, pop on for a moment and then drop out for 9 more days Sorry? no one asked me to chime in on the 7 teams issue. I would have said ahhhh fuck (because, poor planning) and said coin flip 6th and 7th. Next time I just won't come back. In fact, maybe I won't do the restart league. based on the replies so far, I'd say whats the point of doing it. just me everyone gets busy, has shit happen in their life. Popping on and going this is flawed and the solution tried is garbage so we'll redo it, just wastes everyone's time.
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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 20:50:06 GMT -5
Sorry? no one asked me to chime in on the 7 teams issue. I would have said ahhhh fuck (because, poor planning) and said coin flip 6th and 7th. Next time I just won't come back. In fact, maybe I won't do the restart league. based on the replies so far, I'd say whats the point of doing it. just me everyone gets busy, has shit happen in their life. Popping on and going this is flawed and the solution tried is garbage so we'll redo it, just wastes everyone's time. i agree it's a waste of time
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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 20:52:44 GMT -5
Sorry? no one asked me to chime in on the 7 teams issue. I would have said ahhhh fuck (because, poor planning) and said coin flip 6th and 7th. Next time I just won't come back. In fact, maybe I won't do the restart league. based on the replies so far, I'd say whats the point of doing it. just me everyone gets busy, has shit happen in their life. Popping on and going this is flawed and the solution tried is garbage so we'll redo it, just wastes everyone's time. Thats why i though 1925 would be interesting, 16 teams, we probably only have that many truly interested. i guess we'll see.
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 20:54:03 GMT -5
based on the replies so far, I'd say whats the point of doing it. just me everyone gets busy, has shit happen in their life. Popping on and going this is flawed and the solution tried is garbage so we'll redo it, just wastes everyone's time. Thats why i though 1925 would be interesting, 16 teams, we probably only have that many truly interested. i guess we'll see. need 18 teams from the testing I've done
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 20:54:34 GMT -5
based on the replies so far, I'd say whats the point of doing it. just me everyone gets busy, has shit happen in their life. Popping on and going this is flawed and the solution tried is garbage so we'll redo it, just wastes everyone's time. i agree it's a waste of time yeppers
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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 20:55:22 GMT -5
I think I got Ohtani to work, but curious how the pages will look
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 21:00:59 GMT -5
hmmm good point the page would need to be based off a pitcher
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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 21:02:50 GMT -5
hmmm good point the page would need to be based off a pitcher looks like it, so there would be very little info other than career batting stats. No past 10 games, situational stats, monthly stats, etc. i'm checking to see if he pops up in league leaders
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 21:06:19 GMT -5
so I actually made him off of a hitter in the draft file as an FYI
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Nov 2, 2024 21:07:39 GMT -5
and with that, my tired ass is going to sleep
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Post by CSCommish on Nov 2, 2024 21:22:25 GMT -5
so I actually made him off of a hitter in the draft file as an FYI I think that's fine. I had to put him at DH, run depth charts / lineups, and then change him to a SP, and put him in the rotation, and it seems to work. If I do it the other way around (put him in the rotation and then make him a DH), it seems to ignore his pitching ratings (he was pitching less than an inning and giving up hits/runs each time)
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