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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 6:49:03 GMT -5
The bottom 6 teams will be placed into an NBA-style draft lottery.
The bottom 6 teams for the 2016 draft are:
1. HOU (17 wins)
2. MIA (17 wins)
3. MIL (30 wins)
4. ARZ (39 wins)
5. BOS (41 wins)
6. TEX (54 wins)
6. PHI (54 wins)
Since there's a tie for 6th, we do a coinflip.
Heads: TEX
Tails: PHI
Result: Tails - PHI is #6 (in lotto), TEX is #7 (not in lotto)
Base combinations are:
1. HOU - 300 out of 1,000
2. MIA - 300 out of 1,000
3. MIL - 150 out of 1,000
4. ARZ - 100 out of 1,000
5. BOS - 80 out of 1,000
6. PHI - 70 out of 1,000
Reductions:
- win less than 30 - 100% reduction - HOU, MIA
- win less than 40 - 75% reduction - MIL, ARZ
- win less than 50 - 50% reduction - BOS
- win less than 60 - 25% reduction - PHI
- had #1 pick last season - 50% reduction - BOS (it was COL in 2015)
- had #1 pick past 2 seasons - 100% reduction - N/A (it was BOS in 2016 and COL in 2015)
Revised combinations are:
1. HOU - 0 out of 1,000 ... other 300 are unassigned
2. MIA - 0 out of 1,000 ... other 300 are unassigned
3. MIL - 38 out of 1,000 ... other 112 are unassigned
4. ARZ - 25 out of 1,000 ... other 75 are unassigned
5. BOS - 20 out of 1,000 ... other 60 are unassigned
6. PHI - 53 out of 1,000 ... other 17 are unassigned
Actual chances:
1. HOU - 0.0%
2. MIA - 0.0%
3. MIL - 27.9%
4. ARZ - 18.4%
5. BOS - 14.7%
6. PHI - 39.0%
Probable draft order (in order of % for first 3, then remainder in order of wins):
1. PHI
2. MIL
3. ARZ
4. HOU
5. MIA
6. BOS
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Bish
General Manager 
Philadelphia Phillies
Posts: 3,290
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Post by Bish on Oct 27, 2024 6:49:51 GMT -5
Ok!!!!
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 6:51:10 GMT -5
Gonna run the combos now
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,471 
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Post by sargo on Oct 27, 2024 7:08:16 GMT -5
Ah
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 7:13:27 GMT -5
Roll Generator Search For Value Action
1 13 14 12 10 10 12 13 14 Unassigned Roll Again
2 9 13 10 14 9 10 13 14 Unassigned Roll Again
3 7 12 5 14 5 7 12 14 Unassigned Roll Again
4 12 10 14 11 10 11 12 14 Unassigned Roll Again
5 7 8 6 2 2 6 7 8 Unassigned Roll Again
6 8 9 14 12 8 9 12 14 PHI Team #1
7 2 9 13 6 2 6 9 13 Unassigned Roll Again
8 14 7 4 5 4 5 7 14 Unassigned Roll Again
9 4 13 12 3 3 4 12 13 Unassigned Roll Again
10 3 8 2 10 2 3 8 10 Unassigned Roll Again
11 9 8 11 2 2 8 9 11 Unassigned Roll Again
12 10 9 2 1 1 2 9 10 Unassigned Roll Again
13 5 2 6 1 1 2 5 6 Unassigned Roll Again
14 9 13 14 2 2 9 13 14 Unassigned Roll Again
15 9 2 8 11 2 8 9 11 Unassigned Roll Again
16 7 9 1 11 1 7 9 11 Unassigned Roll Again
17 2 1 13 4 1 2 4 13 Unassigned Roll Again
18 7 4 12 8 4 7 8 12 Unassigned Roll Again
19 6 9 4 13 4 6 9 13 Unassigned Roll Again
20 8 9 7 1 1 7 8 9 Unassigned Roll Again
21 1 3 6 11 1 3 6 11 Unassigned Roll Again
22 4 2 11 7 2 4 7 11 Unassigned Roll Again
23 4 9 5 11 4 5 9 11 Unassigned Roll Again
24 13 8 9 4 4 8 9 13 ARZ Team #2
25 9 11 10 8 8 9 10 11 PHI Roll Again
26 9 10 14 5 5 9 10 14 BOS Team #3
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 7:14:16 GMT -5
Draft Order:
1. PHI
2. ARZ
3. BOS
4. HOU
5. MIA
6. MIL
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bigmark
General Manager
Chicago White Sox
Posts: 6,178
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Post by bigmark on Oct 27, 2024 7:16:18 GMT -5
ouch
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bigmark
General Manager
Chicago White Sox
Posts: 6,178
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Post by bigmark on Oct 27, 2024 7:18:55 GMT -5
Can we all agree Brian just didnt want Philly getting Ohtani? haha! kidding! kidding!
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,471
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Post by sargo on Oct 27, 2024 7:25:30 GMT -5
Dropped to 6? Cmon. Time to go ghost here anyways
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Bish
General Manager
Philadelphia Phillies
Posts: 3,290
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Post by Bish on Oct 27, 2024 7:29:29 GMT -5
Can we all agree Brian just didnt want Philly getting Ohtani? haha! kidding! kidding! haha |
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Bish
General Manager
Philadelphia Phillies
Posts: 3,290
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Post by Bish on Oct 27, 2024 7:32:47 GMT -5
Dropped to 6? Cmon. Time to go ghost here anyways it’s your 2nd team, cmon! Getting tgise yanks a ring should be your primary concern! |
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 7:59:49 GMT -5
Dropped to 6? Cmon. Time to go ghost here anyways Ghost the ghost team? Ok |
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,471
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Post by sargo on Oct 27, 2024 9:05:45 GMT -5
Dropped to 6? Cmon. Time to go ghost here anyways it’s your 2nd team, cmon! Getting tgise yanks a ring should be your primary concern! That’s a lost cause. Just like real life |
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 9:24:46 GMT -5
it’s your 2nd team, cmon! Getting tgise yanks a ring should be your primary concern! That’s a lost cause. Just like real life Ugh yea. Why Nestor when he hasn't pitched. 2 game swing. |
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,471
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Post by sargo on Oct 27, 2024 9:35:53 GMT -5
That’s a lost cause. Just like real life Ugh yea. Why Nestor when he hasn't pitched. 2 game swing. Just way too many mental errors and poor decisions by Boone. Tim Hill has gotten big out after big out in the playoffs and was warmed up. Made zero sense to put in Nestor. im going to the game tomorrow, hopefully they can get back on track but I am not confident |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Oct 27, 2024 10:03:41 GMT -5
Yankeeeeeeees suck
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Oct 27, 2024 10:05:57 GMT -5
we agreed there would never be a resim and he resims...
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Oct 27, 2024 10:06:25 GMT -5
Dropped to 6? Cmon. Time to go ghost here anyways |
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,471
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Post by sargo on Oct 27, 2024 10:13:02 GMT -5
Why the re-sim?
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,870
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Post by Reddington on Oct 27, 2024 10:40:06 GMT -5
because I did 1000 to 1 odds and it needs to be 1001 to 1 apparently |
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,471
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Post by sargo on Oct 27, 2024 10:42:00 GMT -5
LMAO cmon
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sargo
General Manager
Posts: 1,471
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Post by sargo on Oct 27, 2024 10:42:24 GMT -5
JR got so fucked
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Post by CSCommish on Oct 27, 2024 11:27:32 GMT -5
Ugh yea. Why Nestor when he hasn't pitched. 2 game swing. Just way too many mental errors and poor decisions by Boone. Tim Hill has gotten big out after big out in the playoffs and was warmed up. Made zero sense to put in Nestor. im going to the game tomorrow, hopefully they can get back on track but I am not confident Wow. Scored the big tix. Nice. I went in 96 when Maddux mowed them down. Then they won 4 straight. |
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jr
General Manager
Posts: 275
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Post by jr on Oct 27, 2024 19:03:31 GMT -5
Umm what? Yeah I’ll just bow out now
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jr
General Manager
Posts: 275
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Post by jr on Oct 27, 2024 19:04:13 GMT -5
Thanks for running this fine league but redoing the lottery after already posting the results is weird
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