Post by Sha-Le Unique on May 15, 2014 15:48:28 GMT -5
The final step to all these FPR articles is to finally do the actual predictions for which reservations will be made from 1958 onward.
Please note that I am doing this with the assumption that each team will only be allowed 2 FPR's, just to keep things fair. And of course, being that they've already made reservations in the past, the Twins, Dodgers, Giants and Cardinals will each have 1 FPR left.
Also, if a team finishes with the worst record in a given season, they obviously wouldn't need to make actual FPR's, but this could happen to anyone at any time, so every pick will be made with the assumption that those teams do not finish with the worst record.
Here we go! I used a combination of the most logical choices for each team plus the knowledge of each GM's particular all-time favorites.
1958: Gaylord Perry (SF)
Although Spencer would probably be better off waiting until Barry Bonds in 1985 or Buster Posey in 2008, he seems very intent on reserving Perry in the next draft. After seeing what happened to Marichal last draft, he apparently doesn't want it to happen again to Perry. It would suck for Spencer to use up both his FPR's this early, but if that's what he wants, then that's what he will get.
1959: Ron Santo (CHC), Willie Stargell (PIT)
Matt A. has already made it known that he wants Santo, so I'll keep him to his word on that. As for Stargell, he is an obvious FPR because he is by far the best option the Pirates will ever have in this league.
1960: Pete Rose (CIN)
I put Rose as the 3rd most logical FPR for the Reds, but I just have a gut feeling Jeff will have a hard time passing up on him and especially if he starts with brilliant in hits.
1961: None
1962: None
1963: None
1964: Jim Palmer (BAL), Rod Carew (MIN), Steve Carlton (PHI)
This should be a big FPR class. Palmer is by far the best pitcher in Orioles history, so he's an easy FPR choice. Adam seems to want to reserve Carew, whose brilliant hits will certainly be hard to pass up. I also think Oren will have a hard time passing up on Carlton, who is clearly the best pitcher in Phillies history. So yeah I really think all three of these FPR's will happen.
1965: Nolan Ryan (LAA), Johnny Bench (CIN)
Stutter has made it known that once he's a part of this league, he will want Nolan Ryan and it's an easy choice for the Angels as well. I don't really see Jeff as the kind of patient person that will wait until 2002 for Joey Votto, so I think he will reserve Bench as well and especially because great catchers are a dime a dozen.
1966: Tom Seaver (NYM)
I was really on the fence with Reggie Jackson for the A's, but for some reason, I got a feeling Noah will pass on him for 2 reasons. First, Reggie is a real life douche and I doubt Noah would be a big fan of him generally speaking. Second, the A's have better choices down the road as you will soon see. I've already stated that if I don't finish with the worst 1965 record, I will reserve Seaver for sure. Can't second guess The Franchise.
1967: Carlton Fisk (CHW)
Mark won't be with the White Sox forever, but one thing he will do is use some of the White Sox' FPR points on Carlton Fisk, who was one of the greatest catchers of all time. Quite an easy call to make.
1968: None
1969: None
1970: None
1971: George Brett (KC), Mike Schmidt (PHI)
Two of the greatest third basemen of all time will get locked up here. Brett is an obvious choice for the Royals and Schmidt is a pretty easy choice for the Phillies. Both hitters are widely considered the best players in their team's histories.
Yeah these two are gonna enjoy themselves here for sure.
1972: Randy Jones (SD)
Randy Jones is not a huge name, but if the talents I feel Jones should have end up happening, it will be tough for the future Padres GM to say no. Furthermore, if Chris deems Dave Winfield as a Yankee over a Padre in 1973, this would only make the Jones choice easier.
1973: Eddie Murray (BAL), Robin Yount (MIL)
Murray is a lock for the Orioles. No second guessing him. Yount is also a lock for the Brewers, especially because the Brewers' two best choices are both way in the future and in close draft classes.
1974: None
1975: Andre Dawson (MON)
Dawson is a very good choice for the Expos to make and I'll be surprised if it doesn't happen, even with Tim Raines looming in 1977.
1976: Rickey Henderson (OAK)
This is an easy choice for the A's. Noah will realize Henderson's 100+ SB per season potential and the fact that a home runs increase will make him G/G/B at the plate. I'll be shocked if this doesn't happen.
Rickey knows that Rickey would be a very good FPR for the A's.
1977: None
1978: Ryne Sandberg (CHC)
Sandberg is the other Cubs favorite Matt A. really plans on reserving in the future and I can only imagine this will definitely happen.
1979: Don Mattingly (NYY)
How could Chris not go with his favorite player from his childhood? He's already stated that Donnie Baseball will get reserved.
1980: None
1981: Tony Gwynn (SD)
Complete no-brainer pick. Might be the easiest FPR choice of all time.
Will there actually be another FPR pick as obvious as Gwynn? Let's see!
1982: Bret Saberhagen (KC), Jose Canseco (OAK)
Unless the future Royals GM is a big Carlos Beltran fan, Saberhagen is very likely to get an FPR here. Noah would be very smart to reserve Canseco, who would simply need a hits increase to become one of the best players this league will probably ever see. 40/40? Canseco could have 50/50 potential up in here.
Also, if I find a way to get Tom Seaver without making an actual FPR, I will definitely use my first FPR on Dwight "Doctor K" Gooden. But if I had to choose between the two, it would be Seaver.
1983: None
1984: Greg Maddux (ATL)
Although John Smoltz will probably be a better choice in 1985, I see Steve jumping the gun with Maddux, who is still an awesome FPR choice.
1985: Randy Johnson (SEA), Rafael Palmeiro (TEX)
Finally the much hyped 1985 class! Stevie B will eventually take over the Mariners when they appear in 1977 and it would be tough to see him pass on the Big Unit. I also see our future Rangers GM locking up Palmeiro just because his ratings are gonna be real nice.
1986: None
1987: Albert Belle (CLE), Ken Griffey Jr. (SEA)
Both of these reservations are very easy to make. Belle is one of the best options the Indians will have and do I really need to explain how obvious of an FPR Griffey will be?
1988: Pedro Martinez (BOS), Carlos Delgado (TOR), Ivan Rodriguez (TEX), Mike Piazza (NYM)
All four of these FPR's are very likely to happen. Two of them I can guarantee in Pedro and Piazza, being that Break has already stated he will reserve Pedro and there is no question for me with Piazza. Juan Gonzalez should have better overall ratings than Pudge, but Pudge being a catcher is why he will get the FPR over Juan.
Can't wait to see Piazza here!
1989: Frank Thomas (CHW), Jim Thome (CLE), Jeff Bagwell (HOU)
Two more obvious FPR's in Thomas and Bagwell here. Thome is also very deserving of one for the Indians, and with the Indians' options beyond him being rather thin, I see this FPR happening as well.
1990: Chipper Jones (ATL)
Steve will use his second FPR on Larry Wayne Jones. It's a very easy choice for him to make, with Jones' ratings likely to be off the charts.
1991: None
1992: Derek Jeter (NYY)
Yeah Chris will reserve Jeter. I don't think this will surprise anyone. A lifelong Yankee and brilliant in hits? Easy choice for Chris.
1993: Vladimir Guerrero (MON)
Does a bear shit in the woods? Yeah this is a no-brainer. Vlad will be amazing.
1994: Nomar Garciaparra (BOS)
Break has made it clear he will reserve one of his all time favorites in Garciaparra, and seeing how much of a hard-on he's had for him in BBSBL makes this FPR that much more likely to definitely happen.
Nomar failed to win an AL MVP Award in BBSBL for Break. Maybe it will finally happen here.
1995: Roy Halladay (TOR), Todd Helton (COL)
Both of these choices are very easy and both Halladay and Helton are widely considered the best players in their team's histories. I can only imagine Mark and Trevor really looking forward to this draft once they both relocate to the Blue Jays and Rockies, respectively.
1996: None
1997: Lance Berkman (HOU)
Berkman will be too good of a hitter to second guess. Can't see Jenn not doing this.
1998: None
1999: Miguel Cabrera (DET), Albert Pujols (STL)
Two very obvious FPR's here for two of the greatest hitters we have seen in reality within the past 10-15 years. These 2 reservations WILL happen.
These two will probably take HOFFBL by storm in the 2000s.
2000: Hanley Ramirez (FLO)
Hanley is clearly an easy choice for the future Marlins GM (Stutter?) to make by the time we get to the new millennium. I can only imagine how awesome Hanley will be.
2001: None
2002: None
2003: None
2004: Justin Verlander (DET)
Another easy FPR for the Tigers to make later on.
2005: Ryan Braun (MIL), Andrew McCutchen (PIT), Troy Tulowitzki (COL), Justin Upton (ARZ)
This class had so much hitting and it will show here with 4 FPR's. Tulo is an easy pick for Trevor. Upton is nice for the Diamondbacks. Braun is an obvious choice for the Brewers and McCutchen is worth my Pirates successor passing on Dave Parker in 1970.
2006: Evan Longoria (TB), Clayton Kershaw (LAD)
Longoria's ratings should be even better by the time we get here in this league and he'd be an excellent choice for the Rays. Kershaw is worth the wait for Jeremy, and especially because other Dodgers' choices won't be as valuable as him.
2007: David Price (TB), Giancarlo Stanton (FLO)
Being that the Rays' existence will begin in 1998, they should be able to make two consecutive FPR's, but either way, a Price will definitely happen. Stanton is another easy choice for the Marlins, being one of today's most promising sluggers.
2008: None
2009: Mike Trout (LAA), Paul Goldschmidt (ARZ)
I'm pretty sure the #1 reason Stutter wanted the Angels was to wait until 2009 to reserve the young phenom Mike Trout. Although Troy Glaus would be a solid FPR choice for him in 1997, Stutter will wait longer for Trout, whose potential will be unbelievable. Goldschmidt is an obvious FPR for the Diamondbacks and his ratings could get even better with time.
2010: None
2011: None
2012: None
2013: None
2014: None
2015: None
2016: None
I'm not sure where we will be in real time once we catch up to real time here, hence why I included 2015 and 2016 as well. The way I see it, these are the most likely FPR's to occur, barring any worst record finishes for certain teams in certain seasons.
This concludes my FPR article series (at least for now). 5 year anniversary stuff coming in 1958!
Please note that I am doing this with the assumption that each team will only be allowed 2 FPR's, just to keep things fair. And of course, being that they've already made reservations in the past, the Twins, Dodgers, Giants and Cardinals will each have 1 FPR left.
Also, if a team finishes with the worst record in a given season, they obviously wouldn't need to make actual FPR's, but this could happen to anyone at any time, so every pick will be made with the assumption that those teams do not finish with the worst record.
Here we go! I used a combination of the most logical choices for each team plus the knowledge of each GM's particular all-time favorites.
1958: Gaylord Perry (SF)
Although Spencer would probably be better off waiting until Barry Bonds in 1985 or Buster Posey in 2008, he seems very intent on reserving Perry in the next draft. After seeing what happened to Marichal last draft, he apparently doesn't want it to happen again to Perry. It would suck for Spencer to use up both his FPR's this early, but if that's what he wants, then that's what he will get.
1959: Ron Santo (CHC), Willie Stargell (PIT)
Matt A. has already made it known that he wants Santo, so I'll keep him to his word on that. As for Stargell, he is an obvious FPR because he is by far the best option the Pirates will ever have in this league.
1960: Pete Rose (CIN)
I put Rose as the 3rd most logical FPR for the Reds, but I just have a gut feeling Jeff will have a hard time passing up on him and especially if he starts with brilliant in hits.
1961: None
1962: None
1963: None
1964: Jim Palmer (BAL), Rod Carew (MIN), Steve Carlton (PHI)
This should be a big FPR class. Palmer is by far the best pitcher in Orioles history, so he's an easy FPR choice. Adam seems to want to reserve Carew, whose brilliant hits will certainly be hard to pass up. I also think Oren will have a hard time passing up on Carlton, who is clearly the best pitcher in Phillies history. So yeah I really think all three of these FPR's will happen.
1965: Nolan Ryan (LAA), Johnny Bench (CIN)
Stutter has made it known that once he's a part of this league, he will want Nolan Ryan and it's an easy choice for the Angels as well. I don't really see Jeff as the kind of patient person that will wait until 2002 for Joey Votto, so I think he will reserve Bench as well and especially because great catchers are a dime a dozen.
1966: Tom Seaver (NYM)
I was really on the fence with Reggie Jackson for the A's, but for some reason, I got a feeling Noah will pass on him for 2 reasons. First, Reggie is a real life douche and I doubt Noah would be a big fan of him generally speaking. Second, the A's have better choices down the road as you will soon see. I've already stated that if I don't finish with the worst 1965 record, I will reserve Seaver for sure. Can't second guess The Franchise.
1967: Carlton Fisk (CHW)
Mark won't be with the White Sox forever, but one thing he will do is use some of the White Sox' FPR points on Carlton Fisk, who was one of the greatest catchers of all time. Quite an easy call to make.
1968: None
1969: None
1970: None
1971: George Brett (KC), Mike Schmidt (PHI)
Two of the greatest third basemen of all time will get locked up here. Brett is an obvious choice for the Royals and Schmidt is a pretty easy choice for the Phillies. Both hitters are widely considered the best players in their team's histories.
Yeah these two are gonna enjoy themselves here for sure.
1972: Randy Jones (SD)
Randy Jones is not a huge name, but if the talents I feel Jones should have end up happening, it will be tough for the future Padres GM to say no. Furthermore, if Chris deems Dave Winfield as a Yankee over a Padre in 1973, this would only make the Jones choice easier.
1973: Eddie Murray (BAL), Robin Yount (MIL)
Murray is a lock for the Orioles. No second guessing him. Yount is also a lock for the Brewers, especially because the Brewers' two best choices are both way in the future and in close draft classes.
1974: None
1975: Andre Dawson (MON)
Dawson is a very good choice for the Expos to make and I'll be surprised if it doesn't happen, even with Tim Raines looming in 1977.
1976: Rickey Henderson (OAK)
This is an easy choice for the A's. Noah will realize Henderson's 100+ SB per season potential and the fact that a home runs increase will make him G/G/B at the plate. I'll be shocked if this doesn't happen.
Rickey knows that Rickey would be a very good FPR for the A's.
1977: None
1978: Ryne Sandberg (CHC)
Sandberg is the other Cubs favorite Matt A. really plans on reserving in the future and I can only imagine this will definitely happen.
1979: Don Mattingly (NYY)
How could Chris not go with his favorite player from his childhood? He's already stated that Donnie Baseball will get reserved.
1980: None
1981: Tony Gwynn (SD)
Complete no-brainer pick. Might be the easiest FPR choice of all time.
Will there actually be another FPR pick as obvious as Gwynn? Let's see!
1982: Bret Saberhagen (KC), Jose Canseco (OAK)
Unless the future Royals GM is a big Carlos Beltran fan, Saberhagen is very likely to get an FPR here. Noah would be very smart to reserve Canseco, who would simply need a hits increase to become one of the best players this league will probably ever see. 40/40? Canseco could have 50/50 potential up in here.
Also, if I find a way to get Tom Seaver without making an actual FPR, I will definitely use my first FPR on Dwight "Doctor K" Gooden. But if I had to choose between the two, it would be Seaver.
1983: None
1984: Greg Maddux (ATL)
Although John Smoltz will probably be a better choice in 1985, I see Steve jumping the gun with Maddux, who is still an awesome FPR choice.
1985: Randy Johnson (SEA), Rafael Palmeiro (TEX)
Finally the much hyped 1985 class! Stevie B will eventually take over the Mariners when they appear in 1977 and it would be tough to see him pass on the Big Unit. I also see our future Rangers GM locking up Palmeiro just because his ratings are gonna be real nice.
1986: None
1987: Albert Belle (CLE), Ken Griffey Jr. (SEA)
Both of these reservations are very easy to make. Belle is one of the best options the Indians will have and do I really need to explain how obvious of an FPR Griffey will be?
1988: Pedro Martinez (BOS), Carlos Delgado (TOR), Ivan Rodriguez (TEX), Mike Piazza (NYM)
All four of these FPR's are very likely to happen. Two of them I can guarantee in Pedro and Piazza, being that Break has already stated he will reserve Pedro and there is no question for me with Piazza. Juan Gonzalez should have better overall ratings than Pudge, but Pudge being a catcher is why he will get the FPR over Juan.
Can't wait to see Piazza here!
1989: Frank Thomas (CHW), Jim Thome (CLE), Jeff Bagwell (HOU)
Two more obvious FPR's in Thomas and Bagwell here. Thome is also very deserving of one for the Indians, and with the Indians' options beyond him being rather thin, I see this FPR happening as well.
1990: Chipper Jones (ATL)
Steve will use his second FPR on Larry Wayne Jones. It's a very easy choice for him to make, with Jones' ratings likely to be off the charts.
1991: None
1992: Derek Jeter (NYY)
Yeah Chris will reserve Jeter. I don't think this will surprise anyone. A lifelong Yankee and brilliant in hits? Easy choice for Chris.
1993: Vladimir Guerrero (MON)
Does a bear shit in the woods? Yeah this is a no-brainer. Vlad will be amazing.
1994: Nomar Garciaparra (BOS)
Break has made it clear he will reserve one of his all time favorites in Garciaparra, and seeing how much of a hard-on he's had for him in BBSBL makes this FPR that much more likely to definitely happen.
Nomar failed to win an AL MVP Award in BBSBL for Break. Maybe it will finally happen here.
1995: Roy Halladay (TOR), Todd Helton (COL)
Both of these choices are very easy and both Halladay and Helton are widely considered the best players in their team's histories. I can only imagine Mark and Trevor really looking forward to this draft once they both relocate to the Blue Jays and Rockies, respectively.
1996: None
1997: Lance Berkman (HOU)
Berkman will be too good of a hitter to second guess. Can't see Jenn not doing this.
1998: None
1999: Miguel Cabrera (DET), Albert Pujols (STL)
Two very obvious FPR's here for two of the greatest hitters we have seen in reality within the past 10-15 years. These 2 reservations WILL happen.
These two will probably take HOFFBL by storm in the 2000s.
2000: Hanley Ramirez (FLO)
Hanley is clearly an easy choice for the future Marlins GM (Stutter?) to make by the time we get to the new millennium. I can only imagine how awesome Hanley will be.
2001: None
2002: None
2003: None
2004: Justin Verlander (DET)
Another easy FPR for the Tigers to make later on.
2005: Ryan Braun (MIL), Andrew McCutchen (PIT), Troy Tulowitzki (COL), Justin Upton (ARZ)
This class had so much hitting and it will show here with 4 FPR's. Tulo is an easy pick for Trevor. Upton is nice for the Diamondbacks. Braun is an obvious choice for the Brewers and McCutchen is worth my Pirates successor passing on Dave Parker in 1970.
2006: Evan Longoria (TB), Clayton Kershaw (LAD)
Longoria's ratings should be even better by the time we get here in this league and he'd be an excellent choice for the Rays. Kershaw is worth the wait for Jeremy, and especially because other Dodgers' choices won't be as valuable as him.
2007: David Price (TB), Giancarlo Stanton (FLO)
Being that the Rays' existence will begin in 1998, they should be able to make two consecutive FPR's, but either way, a Price will definitely happen. Stanton is another easy choice for the Marlins, being one of today's most promising sluggers.
2008: None
2009: Mike Trout (LAA), Paul Goldschmidt (ARZ)
I'm pretty sure the #1 reason Stutter wanted the Angels was to wait until 2009 to reserve the young phenom Mike Trout. Although Troy Glaus would be a solid FPR choice for him in 1997, Stutter will wait longer for Trout, whose potential will be unbelievable. Goldschmidt is an obvious FPR for the Diamondbacks and his ratings could get even better with time.
2010: None
2011: None
2012: None
2013: None
2014: None
2015: None
2016: None
I'm not sure where we will be in real time once we catch up to real time here, hence why I included 2015 and 2016 as well. The way I see it, these are the most likely FPR's to occur, barring any worst record finishes for certain teams in certain seasons.
This concludes my FPR article series (at least for now). 5 year anniversary stuff coming in 1958!
