stooolfan
General Manager 
St Louis Cardinals
Posts: 7,277 
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Post by stooolfan on Jan 31, 2019 2:46:03 GMT -5
what is happening with atlantas pick I have few issues with this. Whatever the penalty, it'll be the first of its kind (as opposed to not pushing your pick back for Clemens or being more harsh on you/Stool in season's past). In any case, I have talked to Brian --- he understands my position on this and respects my decision, which is as follows: - I looked back on prior sims and it would appear that the "really bad" lineups were put in place for 3 sims during September. Based on their record during those 3 sims, I would estimate that the team should have 1 or 2 additional wins in September. Ironically, the team did WORSE after I fixed the lineup. So perhaps the revised estimate would result in 1 or 2 additional LOSSES? I guess the starters were cold? Who knows. Let's assume 1 or 2 additional wins for the moment. - There were a couple sketchy starters throughout the season (sounds familiar Break?). It would be impossible to estimate this. Maybe 5 or 6 additional wins? - Brian also made it clear he was trying to sell and was only able to move Gullett I think. I'm sure he would have done more if he needed to. - So, instead of just estimating how many wins he may have tossed, I am going to use the Fan Expectations of 95 wins --- which assumed Gullett the entire season. - Using the 95 wins, we're looking at the Braves' picks (in all 3 rounds) being dropped from 17th to 21st. The Astros, Indians, Phillies and Yankees (thanks!) will all move up a spot. Guess I missed something. Yeah all I did was give all my dudes away really cheap and it has fucked be into this long rebuild. Not sure what else you want me to do. |
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Feb 1, 2019 14:12:04 GMT -5
Thanks for the input so far; made the following changes: Bonds: Loyal and 3B to Good Smoltz: Pitches Grace: Hits to Brilliant Gilkey: Speed to B Dev: Speed to B Huson: Speed to C Thought Jefferies' Walks at Average is right; no change. Smoltz should be brill in SO too, over his 21 yr careear he was 8/9 innings and during his 10 yrs goup I shared 8.6 per 9 |
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bigmark
General Manager
Chicago White Sox
Posts: 6,177
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Post by bigmark on Feb 1, 2019 14:59:55 GMT -5
Thanks for the input so far; made the following changes: Bonds: Loyal and 3B to Good Smoltz: Pitches Grace: Hits to Brilliant Gilkey: Speed to B Dev: Speed to B Huson: Speed to C Thought Jefferies' Walks at Average is right; no change. Smoltz should be brill in SO too, over his 21 yr careear he was 8/9 innings and during his 10 yrs goup I shared 8.6 per 9 Can I have the player I want improved too? 🤣 |
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jahallstar
General Manager
Baltimore Orioles
Posts: 963
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Post by jahallstar on Feb 1, 2019 16:41:29 GMT -5
Not 100% sure how this works yet but one question. Alomar had 5 .320 plus batting seasons while Mark Grace only had 3. Their career averages are pretty much the same and Alomar had more hits overall. Why would Grace be B in hits and Alomar wouldn't?
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dgfred
General Manager
Oakland A's
Posts: 927
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Post by dgfred on Feb 1, 2019 16:48:23 GMT -5
Some of his spit missed hitting it's mark.
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jahallstar
General Manager
Baltimore Orioles
Posts: 963
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Post by jahallstar on Feb 1, 2019 16:51:44 GMT -5
32% of it still connected though.
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Feb 1, 2019 18:43:11 GMT -5
Smoltz should be brill in SO too, over his 21 yr careear he was 8/9 innings and during his 10 yrs goup I shared 8.6 per 9 Can I have the player I want improved too? 🤣 post justification with statistical analysis as to why , and the likelihood increases. Just like Spence got Bonds changed... just like I added for Grace... but sure I can see why you would post this. |
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Feb 1, 2019 18:56:08 GMT -5
Not 100% sure how this works yet but one question. Alomar had 5 .320 plus batting seasons while Mark Grace only had 3. Their career averages are pretty much the same and Alomar had more hits overall. Why would Grace be B in hits and Alomar wouldn't? this works by posting justification why. for grace I did an 11 consecutive year breakdown and he had a .310 for those 11 years. in this case I took this info 1 33 CLE AL 157 677 575 113 193 34 12 20 100 30 6 80 71 0.336
1997 29 BAL AL 112 469 412 64 137 23 2 14 60 9 3 40 43 0.333
1996 28 BAL AL 153 699 588 132 193 43 4 22 94 17 6 90 65 0.328
1993 25 TOR AL 153 683 589 109 192 35 6 17 93 55 15 80 67 0.326
1999 31 CLE AL 159 694 563 138 182 40 3 24 120 37 6 99 96 0.323
1992 24 TOR AL 152 671 571 105 177 27 8 8 76 49 9 87 52 0.31
2000 32 CLE AL 155 697 610 111 189 40 2 19 89 39 4 64 82 0.31
2004 36 ARI NL 38 125 110 14 34 5 2 3 16 0 2 12 18 0.309
1994 26 TOR AL 107 455 392 78 120 25 4 8 38 19 8 51 41 0.306
1995 27 TOR AL 130 577 517 71 155 24 7 13 66 30 3 47 45 0.3
1989 21 SDP NL 158 702 623 82 184 27 1 7 56 42 17 53 76 0.295
1991 23 TOR AL 161 719 637 88 188 41 11 9 69 53 11 57 86 0.295
1990 22 SDP NL 147 646 586 80 168 27 5 6 60 24 7 48 72 0.287
and saw for those 13 yrs he avg'd .312 and would say, yes like Grace he should be a Brill hit hitter |
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stooolfan
General Manager
St Louis Cardinals
Posts: 7,277
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Post by stooolfan on Feb 1, 2019 23:50:54 GMT -5
Smoltz should be brill in SO too, over his 21 yr careear he was 8/9 innings and during his 10 yrs goup I shared 8.6 per 9 Can I have the player I want improved too? 🤣 If you don’t think Smoltz should be brill you are an idiot. |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Feb 1, 2019 23:54:07 GMT -5
Can I have the player I want improved too? 🤣 If you don’t think Smoltz should be brill you are an idiot. no way. He's a career 8. He's a full 1 k/9 from being brilliant by most drafting standards, even further by others. |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Feb 1, 2019 23:54:26 GMT -5
He's sitting right in the middle of good range.
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stooolfan
General Manager
St Louis Cardinals
Posts: 7,277
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Post by stooolfan on Feb 1, 2019 23:55:05 GMT -5
He's sitting right in the middle of good range. Well you are an idiot too |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Feb 2, 2019 0:11:15 GMT -5
He's sitting right in the middle of good range. Well you are an idiot too How many drafts have you put together? Oh yeah, zero. I just finished my 19th. |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Feb 2, 2019 0:13:55 GMT -5
Try arguing stats instead of calling people idiots. I bet you're the dickhead who grabs motorcycle keys just to be a dick when you make a traffic stop.
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stooolfan
General Manager
St Louis Cardinals
Posts: 7,277
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Post by stooolfan on Feb 2, 2019 0:41:58 GMT -5
LoL!
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Feb 2, 2019 7:29:29 GMT -5
If you don’t think Smoltz should be brill you are an idiot. no way. He's a career 8. He's a full 1 k/9 from being brilliant by most drafting standards, even further by others. Funny, it's almost like I make specific arguments based on conversations with Chris. Also, if you look at his 10 yrs span of when he was dominant he was at 8.5, the 8 punishes him for having a 21 yr career. |
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Feb 2, 2019 7:34:45 GMT -5
Well you are an idiot too How many drafts have you put together? Oh yeah, zero. I just finished my 19th. OMG so that makes you an expert? and the answer is no, just because you do something, doesn't mean you do it well |
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bigmark
General Manager
Chicago White Sox
Posts: 6,177
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Post by bigmark on Feb 2, 2019 8:31:37 GMT -5
Have we always gone by most dominant seasons? Or is this something used in the last few years to serve people's purposes?
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Feb 2, 2019 8:42:21 GMT -5
Have we always gone by most dominant seasons? Or is this something used in the last few years to serve people's purposes? it is my understanding that it has to be in a consistent chunk of years, ergo cant be like 88, 90, 91, 94, 95, 98 etc Like for Grace I used 89-99 to base the argument on. and yes I believe Chris has always taken it into consideration. |
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Feb 2, 2019 20:49:22 GMT -5
Thanks for the input so far; made the following changes: Bonds: Loyal and 3B to Good Smoltz: Pitches Grace: Hits to Brilliant Gilkey: Speed to B Dev: Speed to B Huson: Speed to C Thought Jefferies' Walks at Average is right; no change. Smoltz should be brill in SO too, over his 21 yr careear he was 8/9 innings and during his 10 yrs goup I shared 8.6 per 9 well fuck me... having this done really backfired for me... |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Feb 3, 2019 6:41:10 GMT -5
8.5 is still well below 9.
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Feb 3, 2019 6:42:54 GMT -5
How many drafts have you put together? Oh yeah, zero. I just finished my 19th. OMG so that makes you an expert? and the answer is no, just because you do something, doesn't mean you do it well Kindly go fuck yourself? It kind of does considering the drafts he's used lately have come from bbsbl until recently when shale left with his own slight tweaks. Dickhead. |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on Feb 3, 2019 6:44:40 GMT -5
If you can't attack the data attack the source i guess the mark of an ideologue
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Post by CSCommish on Feb 3, 2019 7:35:18 GMT -5
8 is Brilliant...
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Reddington
General Manager
Atlanta Braves
Posts: 17,853
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Post by Reddington on Feb 3, 2019 13:03:29 GMT -5
OMG so that makes you an expert? and the answer is no, just because you do something, doesn't mean you do it well Kindly go fuck yourself? It kind of does considering the drafts he's used lately have come from bbsbl until recently when shale left with his own slight tweaks. Dickhead. and like always you argue with an incomplete set of data, and resort to childish name calling whenever someone points out you are wrong |
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